The Meaning and Reliability of Economic Summit Undertakings: 1975-1989

Title

The Meaning and Reliability of Economic Summit Undertakings: 1975-1989

Files

ISBN

0815312539

Publication Date

1993

Publisher

Garland Publishing, Inc.

City

New York

Disciplines

Business

Comments

Table of Contents

Introduction

Part I

The Imprecise Obligations of Summit Declarations: Introduction and Summary

The Summit Outcome and Issues of Credibility

Economic Distress and the Choice of Summit Issues

Compliance Testing: Approach, Limits and Justification

Interpreting Undertakings and Scoring Outcomes: Mathematical Approach and Examples

Statistical Properties of Compliance Scores

Summit Ambition and Forecasting Accuracy

Appendix I: Summit-By-Summit Inflation Forecasts

Scoring the Undertakings Identified in the First Fifteen Summits

Appendix II: Scores for the Summits 1975-1977, 1979-1989

Results for the 1975-89 Economic Summits

Part II

The Revealed Understanding of Economic Relationships

The Public Record of the Annual Economic Summits

Appendix III: Source of Economic Understandings Centered on Policy Issues

Appendix IV: Empirical Evidence on Policy Issues

Appendix V: Var Modeling and Simulations

Empirical Evidence on Economic Understandings Centered on Interest Rates

Empirical Evidence on Economic Understandings Centered on Inflation Issues

Appendix VI: Empirical Evidence on Inflation Issues

Empirical Evidence on Economic Understandings Centered on Exchange Rates and the Current Account

Appendix VII: Empirical Evidence on Economic Understandings Centered on Exchange Rates and the Current Account

Empirical Evidence on the Growth Effect of Oil Price Declines

Appendix VIII: Empirical Evidence on the Growth Effect of Oil Price Declines

Results for the 1975-1989 Economic Summits

Conclusion

References

Authors

Index