Title

Incorporating Beliefs and Experiences into Choice Experiment Analysis: Implications for the National Park Service

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

6-2021

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Source Publication

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy

Source ISSN

2040-5790

Abstract

We show that respondents' beliefs about future outcomes and prior recreational experiences affect policy recommendations from choice experiments. For New England residents, we find that willingness to pay for a new national park in Maine differs based on respondents' stated beliefs about the status quo long-term land use. We also find that respondents who do (do not) hunt or snowmobile would pay significantly more (less) for a park allowing these activities. Land managers may find a two-park solution (one allowing the activities and one prohibiting them) would be best; this insight would be missed when neglecting to model conflicting recreational preferences.

Comments

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Vol. 43, No. 2 (June 2021): 823-848. DOI.

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