The Impact of Armed Conflict on Inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): An Analysis of Conflict Over Government, Conflict Over Territory, and FDI

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2024

Publisher

Taylor & Francis (Routledge)

Source Publication

Global Economic Review

Source ISSN

1226-508X

Original Item ID

DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2024.2305468

Abstract

We examine the relationship between armed conflict and foreign direct investment (FDI) in host countries. With data from 113 nations from 1984 to 2014, system GMM and macro-panel CCEMG estimators show that intrastate armed conflict decreases FDI in conflict-ridden hosts. Further, we distinguish two types of armed conflict – conflict over government and conflict over territory. Conflict over government has significant short-term and long-term negative impacts on FDI, while the effect of territorial conflicts appears insignificant. Our results also suggest that armed conflict's harmful impact on FDI mainly occurs in middle- and low-income host countries.

Comments

Global Economic Review, Vol. 53, No. 1 (2024): 25-51. DOI.

Share

COinS